Differing Weather Forecasts
Willhound
Member Posts: 4,208 ✭✭✭✭✭
Trying to plan a weekend getaway but the Admiral is wary of wind. Not only out of fear, she has back issues and too much bouncing around is not good. We have two main commercial sources for forecasts. Accuweather which I prefer and seems to be accurate as the name implies. Also have the Weather Network, an affiliate but separate from the in in the US. It always seems to me that they are more severe in their forecasts. It's almost like they want to predict the worst and when it doesn't happen everybody's happy. And if it is bad they can say they were right. Driving myself crazy trying to make a decision so I can book slips etc.
"Knot Quite Shore" - 2000 FV270 (Sold)
2018 Cherokee 39RL Land Yacht (Sorry...)
2018 Cherokee 39RL Land Yacht (Sorry...)
Comments
So Accuweather thinks 7 to 13 mph which is fine. Weather Network is 14 to 24, theirow is the others high. How can they differ so much when supposedly using the same base data. Our return on Sunday or Monday is the same. 24mph means about 4 foot rollers in the big part of the lake. 14 mph and I can cruise on plane no problem.
2018 Cherokee 39RL Land Yacht (Sorry...)
https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/CYLS
Boat Name: King Kong
"Boat + Water = Fun"
Dream 'Inn III -- 2008 400 Express
I guess my frustration is that out of the 4 or 5 big ones, no two agree so trying to see a pattern is difficult. What one forecasts as the high for wind gusts, another will show as their low end with a gust 3 times what the other is showing. It's also a little wonky right now as the forward effects of Hurricane Laura will start to be felt this weekend.
That, along with the lack of consensus among forecasters and the Admiral having a bit of trouble with a knee right now have changed our plans anyway. She pointed out that our 29th wedding anniversary is this weekend and with her concern about the weather and her knee she wasn't keen on 3 days on the boat in iffy weather.
As a result we've booked two nights in Niagara Falls with reservations for a nice steak dinner on Saturday and an all day wine tour Sunday (with a private, socially distanced company) that is only taking very small groups to small family owned wineries.
I'd rather be on the boat, and if I pushed it she would go along but after 29 years I can read her pretty good, and when I announced I'd made the reservations she was very happy and admitted she'd enjoy it much more, with much less worry.
All about compromise folks.
2018 Cherokee 39RL Land Yacht (Sorry...)