Stay out of Florida

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  • Aqua_AuraAqua_Aura Member Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Finally someone laying down some real facts for once 😆
    1997 Bayliner 3988
  • davidbrooksdavidbrooks Member Posts: 1,399 ✭✭✭✭
    I tried to stay out of this conversation... i really tried.  To answer Handy's original question. Yes.  It means you need to shut everything down and people need to stay away from each other.  I don't like it i hear all the arguments against it and every person out there is worried about losing their job.  This isn't about not being afraid, this isn't about being stubborn and not letting something change how you act, work or live.  Not recognizing the seriousness of it and just saying that numbers are inflated or that it is all related to politics is just stupid.  Sorry it is.  Please don't be stupid.  I need help with my boat and like chatting with you all.  This is constantly changing.  We are constantly learning so you can't recite something you learned in February and believe it is still relevant.  It might be....it is likely that it isn't though.  As of today there are over 13M confirmed cases for 2020 and 572K deaths.
    • Originally this was argued to just be no worse than the flu. The CDC estimated that between 37.4 million and 42.9 million people contracted the flu during the 2018-2019 season. Those cases led to between 531,000 and 647,000 hospitalization and 36,400-61,200 deaths.
    • Yes Masks help.  They aren't going to keep you from getting sick 100% of the time but they help. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A0UclAmrhVI  
    • Any place such as a bar, disney, sporting events, raft up that attracts lots of people is going to spread this disease.  Does it suck to not be able to do these things.  Yep.  Kind of like when we were kids when we couldn't do what we wanted and threw a temper tantrum.  
    • Yes at some point everyone is likely to get this.  It just isn't realistic it is going to go away and it is going to take years to get enough people vaccinated.  
    • If you get it i hope you live somewhere that has a hospital bed for you.  The issue is that we have more than we can treat.  So more will die. That also means that others who need a bed for non covid issues may die as well.  Miami is currently out of hospital beds.
    • CA is reimposing restrictions and shutting down again.  My crystal ball is saying that TX, AZ and FL are next. States that aggressively opened are now seeing the worst rises in numbers. States that aggressively took control are maintaining a very low infection rate.  My county in MD had the second highest rate in all of MD and we are holding in phase 2 of reopening.  For almost a month now.  Some are screaming for it to go faster but it WORKS.
    • Even entire countries are rethinking their approach.  Sweden was the example of bucking the norm.  They simply asked their people to social distance as they didn't want to shut down the economy.  They did at first.  Then without restrictions that slowly relaxed.  Now they have a huge spike in cases and have realized that their economy is no better off than if they had shut down.  https://www.livescience.com/results-of-sweden-covid19-response.html
    • Google has made it easy for you to find anything to agree with any point.  I simply googled "Scientific proof food tastes better if cooked outside" and got this article. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/food-really-does-taste-better-when-it-looks-good-scientists-claim-9551826.html.  Please keep reading.  Go with trusted sources, don't just read headlines and for gods sake stay away from just one news source that has proven they only repeat one political parties view point. 
    • Dr's are learning more everyday on what works and what doesn't to keep people alive.  If you go in the hospital today you will likely be put on blood thinners, Zinc and melatonin.  Just 2 months ago they hadn't thought of that.
    Finally please everyone just realize that there are guys like me out there who's life depends on you taking this seriously.  From the outside i look like a healthy, robust, fit man in his mid 50's.  However i take medication that suppresses my immune system.  I have A+ blood which statistically has been shown to put me in the group that is more likely to have a severe infection if i get this.  So for me.  I really need there to be a hospital bed.  My wife doesn't even know how to snap on the cover much less get the boat out of the dock.
    It's 5 O'Clock Somewhere!
  • trip_ntrip_n Member Posts: 747 ✭✭✭
    my mom told me the stove was very hot at a young age = told me not to touch it = it would burn n hurt.
    sum touch
    sum believe 
  • LaReaLaRea Member, Moderator Posts: 7,763 mod
    edited July 2020
    There are plenty of personal accounts that show this as incorrect. 
    @69fastback could you please be more specific?  I said a lot of things in that post.  
  • 69fastback69fastback Member Posts: 951 ✭✭✭
    LaRea said:
    There are plenty of personal accounts that show this as incorrect. 
    @69fastback could you please be more specific?  I said a lot of things in that post.  
    People have had the virus, shown with the antibody tests, and have been completely asymptomatic. 
  • Lake_BumLake_Bum Member Posts: 988 ✭✭✭✭
    Well....at least we can all agree we like boats  B)
    2000 Captiva 232 
  • LaReaLaRea Member, Moderator Posts: 7,763 mod
    This is exactly the point I am trying to make:  Nobody with the virus is "completely asymptomatic."  

    When most people say asymptomatic, they mean they never had a "fever" of 100.4F or higher.  That's a faulty and misleading measurement.  In terms of detecting a fever, it's a "false negative."  

    If they were monitoring temperature daily, they would see that their temperature was above normal.  That is a symptom.  Do you see the distinction?  They didn't feel bad, but they had a symptom.  

    Why is it important?  Because if they knew they had a symptom, they could take action to protect those around them.  
  • LaReaLaRea Member, Moderator Posts: 7,763 mod
    Kudos to everybody for keeping this discussion civilized and apolitical.  And yes, we do all like boats!
  • WillhoundWillhound Member Posts: 4,208 ✭✭✭✭✭
    People have had the virus, shown with the antibody tests, and have been completely asymptomatic.

    Exactly. And they didn't get sick or die. Good for them. But how many other people did they infect?  That is the whole point of the shut downs, distancing and masks. 
    Only a complete sociopath would not care about potentially harming others whether they meant to or not.
    "Knot Quite Shore" - 2000 FV270 (Sold)
    2018 Cherokee 39RL Land Yacht (Sorry...)
  • J3ffJ3ff Member Posts: 4,112 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Willhound said:
    People have had the virus, shown with the antibody tests, and have been completely asymptomatic.

    Exactly. And they didn't get sick or die. Good for them. But how many other people did they infect?  That is the whole point of the shut downs, distancing and masks. 
    Only a complete sociopath would not care about potentially harming others whether they meant to or not.
    The crazy part is there's plenty of them, just having their parties like normal, at least down here in the south there are.. saw some crazy stuff from michigan too. 

    If there's one thing the kids going back to school will do, it'll make all the worry about having parties (that I have) become a moot point. 
  • 69fastback69fastback Member Posts: 951 ✭✭✭
    LaRea said:
    This is exactly the point I am trying to make:  Nobody with the virus is "completely asymptomatic."  


    Is there any factual information to back this up, or is it an opinion? Because there are a lot of people who have tested positive that say otherwise. 
  • LaReaLaRea Member, Moderator Posts: 7,763 mod
    edited July 2020
    Yes, I do have direct knowledge.  A guy who works for me tested positive, and had no outward symptoms.  The only reason he got tested is that his wife had to be hospitalized.  After that, we analyzed his daily temperature data.  He had an elevated temperature for three days before he got tested.  

    When I say elevated, I mean more than 2.5 standard deviations above his average temperature.  His temperature never got above 100.4F, so most people would have incorrectly called him asymptomatic.  

    If you know of a person who monitors their temperature every day, got the virus, and never had an elevated temperature as I've described here, I'd love to speak with them.  
  • trip_ntrip_n Member Posts: 747 ✭✭✭
    edited July 2020
    https://www.texastribune.org/2020/07/14/texas-hospitals-coronavirus/

    just asking = when y'all read something like this do you
    1= believe
    2= think its fake news /propaganda 
    3= o no we need to be cautious and understanding
    4= its the end
    5= take care of your self n family
    6= thoughts
  • Handymans342Handymans342 Member Posts: 10,375 ✭✭✭✭✭
  • raybo3raybo3 Administrator Posts: 5,507 admin
    edited July 2020
    I did not want to get into this thread but I will speak my opinion. I do believe that we should protect ourselves from this horrible virus. However I do not believe shutting down everything is the answer. In Mass alone 3600 restaurants have closed for good. Suicide, domestic violence, alcohol/drug usage, crime have all gone up. Now for some numbers. Out of the total population in the US and all the people that have come in contact with it a total of 0.0420% of the people have died from it. Very sad. In Mass 64% of the deaths were from nursing homes and long term care facilities. Average age of death is 84. That tells me the elderly and Veterans were left hanging. Millions and millions are out of work and the country is trillions in debt. I do not know what the answer is but I do know I do not put myself in compromising position. I could go on and on but I won't. Rant over (for now..lol). PROTECT YOURSELF AND STAY SAFE!!!!!!!!! 
    2002 342 Fiesta Vee PC Point Of Pines YC Revere MA. popyc.org     raybo3@live.com
  • trip_ntrip_n Member Posts: 747 ✭✭✭
    handys never looked so good = haircut
    everyone should voice concerns civilly
    my main concerns - what if we hadn't shut down = thats the scary part
    i have never walked slower in a walmart or been more cautious of surroundings than the last 3 months    
  • LaReaLaRea Member, Moderator Posts: 7,763 mod
    @trip_n it means STAY OUT OF TEXAS

  • WillhoundWillhound Member Posts: 4,208 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Good friend of mine retired a few years back after 30 years as a firefighter. Sold his house and most of his possessions except for a fishing boat and bought a 35 foot fifth wheel and Dodge diesel to pull it. Literally has no permanent address. Spends his summers at a seasonal trailer park here and the last two winters at a park on South Padre Island Texas. He is starting to worry that when the park here closes this fall he may not have anywhere to go. Certainly doesn't want to go to Texas unless things improve dramatically and may not be able to anyway if border restrictions are still in place. Will have to rent somewhere here I guess. First world problems.
    "Knot Quite Shore" - 2000 FV270 (Sold)
    2018 Cherokee 39RL Land Yacht (Sorry...)
  • 212rowboat212rowboat Member Posts: 2,593 ✭✭✭✭✭
    trip_n said:
    https://www.texastribune.org/2020/07/14/texas-hospitals-coronavirus/

    just asking = when y'all read something like this do you
    1= believe
    2= think its fake news /propaganda 
    3= o no we need to be cautious and understanding
    4= its the end
    5= take care of your self n family
    6= thoughts
    for what it's worth, granddaddy's words come to mind:
    "Boy, if'n somebody is trying to get an emotional reaction out of you, you are being manipulate."

    those three authors share the same hard left political views... is that important?  it shouldn't be, but media doesn't care about reporting news anymore, they are more affixed on telling you how you should feel about something and they always have to have opposition- someone to bag on- someone to blame... which solidifies their and their 'sides' virtue... making the 'other' side seem either dumb or evil, or both. 

    they speak of 'preparations' and lightly touch on some cherry picked examples of hospitals in Texas to justify their fear mongering... suggesting the ICU beds are at capacity and they must transfer patients- well... small community hospitals may have only four beds in ICU... they may have only two... they may have 8 or 10... hardly any have 20+... which do you think someone wanting to press upon you 'their opinion' for you to adopt it as your own would use in their 'story telling'?

    point:  much if not ALL of the fear is about 'what is going to happen!!!' ... THE SKY IS FALLING~ chicken freakin' little... can we, for once, see FACTS... see non-manipulated numbers and ALL of those numbers (not excluding the ones that detract from the presenters intent)... 

    i'm a military guy... have been my whole life.  different aspects, yeah, but still intent to contact and defeat whatever enemy presents itself as such... and to relate this entire thing into a battlespace it would go (at this point in time) : 
       
    "We have identified the enemy; they are in the open; we see it's capacity and intent; we are equipped to engage."... 
    seriously... the FEAR machine HAS to be put to rest... everyone here has demonstrated capacity to speak and communicate their opinions and translations effectively and civilly... that is FAR more than the average population..... now, if we can get past the FEAR MONGERING and address what we know to be factual- we can not only rest our own internal turbulence but we can set out to rest those of our family and friends, and they in turn their own... which would be a great use of this communication capacity we have here and in spite of the great manipulators (on either and/or ALL sides).  



  • J3ffJ3ff Member Posts: 4,112 ✭✭✭✭✭
    trip_n said:
    handys never looked so good = haircut
    everyone should voice concerns civilly
    my main concerns - what if we hadn't shut down = thats the scary part
    i have never walked slower in a walmart or been more cautious of surroundings than the last 3 months    
    You're seeing what would have happened with no shut down, just look at Texas, AZ and Florida.. Living down here it sure felt like a waste of time keeping to myself and my one friend for most of march, all of april and may, etc.. 

    Summer camps are good indicators of what will happen when kids go back to school. Sure feels like a dumb move to move to FL sitting here right now. 
  • 212rowboat212rowboat Member Posts: 2,593 ✭✭✭✭✭
    @J3ff you have zero control over others and shouldn't have any control over others.  you can control yourself, and if you are at risk or adjacent someone at risk then you SHOULD be protecting yourself with any/every measure you can.... but you can't speak for the population and suggest your expectations be met..... that, Sir, is intent to divide and cause conflict which is something completely avoidable.... unless you have something to gain from it (ala politics). 

    there are different approaches to managing a pandemic.  one, such as the one Sweden used, has proven exceptionally appropriate to this particular illness... they sought herd immunity. 

    they also protected the infirm- by isolation without retribution... if you told your boss "I'm at risk and I'm not coming in" they couldn't terminate you.  If you told them you had a person in your care or proximity 'at risk', same... meanwhile, the remainder of the population continued doing what populations do.... and what came of it? a distinct herd immunity.. it's 'over' over there... it's 'over' in China too because they did the same thing (with the exception of not allowing choice)... 

    you can scoff at the practice, but the practice works.... while comparing it to states who've attempted shut-down it appears the open ones chose the wrong path- which is to be expected by nature of seeking herd immunity .... but let's come back and visit that in six months and see who is in better condition?  ...... now to be fair, we don't know who will be in better condition... we can only say 'well, there was this approach and there was that approach, and it seems ____ was the better approach". <then we shove that in our tool box and use it if we encounter this or something like it again.... which we will.  
  • WillhoundWillhound Member Posts: 4,208 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'm sure you're seeing some crazy things @J3ff but this story is off the charts!
    https://globalnews.ca/news/7169518/coronavirus-covid-party-death-hoax/
    "Knot Quite Shore" - 2000 FV270 (Sold)
    2018 Cherokee 39RL Land Yacht (Sorry...)
  • trip_ntrip_n Member Posts: 747 ✭✭✭
    makes know since to me about grandaddy  = but i asked
    its a shame people see political views over harms way 


    camp on table rock had 89 or 94 infected young campers and counselors  
  • Lake_BumLake_Bum Member Posts: 988 ✭✭✭✭
    The media has fueled the fear so badly, that people treat others just like Lepers 
    2000 Captiva 232 
  • J3ffJ3ff Member Posts: 4,112 ✭✭✭✭✭
    yup, if you google "covid summer camp" and hit news you'll see a few different stories. 

    Miami has just been named the Wuhan of the US. 

    ""What we were seeing in Wuhan -- six months ago, five months ago -- now we are there," Lilian Abbo, with the Jackson Health System said during a news conference hosted Monday by the Miami-Dade County mayor."

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/14/health/us-coronavirus-tuesday/index.html

    This is mainly why I posted this. I've got to work a few days next week but then can be outta here for 2.5 weeks. Wondering if a boat trip to the Bahamas would be worth it.. maybe the boat would sink on the way there and I can go get that jet boat that have been lusting after  :D

    I wouldn't come here at all for a vacation right now. Somewhere in the midwest on a 100 acres in the woods with a lake sounds nice! 
  • 212rowboat212rowboat Member Posts: 2,593 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited July 2020
    orlando health just admitted their numbers were wrong... they reported 98% positive rate when the positive results rate was 9.4%... that's nine POINT four percent... that is quite the mistake...  no word on the 333 testing facilities that reported 100% positive result rates... they're curiously being very quiet. 

    y'all are being played down there, and it's apparent some are taking the bait hook line and sinker et al.  seeing this, it begs the question about the testing and compilation/reporting procedures in Texas as well as Arizona.  

    someone mentioned why politics would be placed above peoples well being... because... politics... 'they' don't give a level **** about you except what they can twist you into doing- which is right now dividing us at a time when we need to not be divided (as if we ever 'should' be divided). 

    y'all go ahead and prepare for the immunization/vaccine... if you don't have it i wonder what the limitations to your liberties will be? 

    now- truth is, 9.4% if accurate is still nothing to sneeze at (no pun intended).  they 'could' have offered that number and people should still be concerned- which means the 'other' side has no real position to oppose except on principle and the exposure of the apparent misinformation campaign... 9.4% is no bueno either way...

    i wonder if the motivation was and is to shut down the GOP convention? curious... same methods used in NC to get rid of it.... there is no shame with the methods of these jerks.  
  • 212rowboat212rowboat Member Posts: 2,593 ✭✭✭✭✭
    correction:  the 333 labs is now 340 labs reporting 100%, and were part of Orlando Health's 'miscalculation' and factored into the corrected 9.4%. 
  • Handymans342Handymans342 Member Posts: 10,375 ✭✭✭✭✭
    DNC is now going virtual
  • J3ffJ3ff Member Posts: 4,112 ✭✭✭✭✭
     
    orlando health just admitted their numbers were wrong... they reported 98% positive rate when the positive results rate was 9.4%... that's nine POINT four percent... that is quite the mistake...  no word on the 333 testing facilities that reported 100% positive result rates... they're curiously being very quiet. 

    y'all are being played down there, and it's apparent some are taking the bait hook line and sinker et al.  seeing this, it begs the question about the testing and compilation/reporting procedures in Texas as well as Arizona.  

    someone mentioned why politics would be placed above peoples well being... because... politics... 'they' don't give a level **** about you except what they can twist you into doing- which is right now dividing us at a time when we need to not be divided (as if we ever 'should' be divided). 

    y'all go ahead and prepare for the immunization/vaccine... if you don't have it i wonder what the limitations to your liberties will be? 

    now- truth is, 9.4% if accurate is still nothing to sneeze at (no pun intended).  they 'could' have offered that number and people should still be concerned- which means the 'other' side has no real position to oppose except on principle and the exposure of the apparent misinformation campaign... 9.4% is no bueno either way...

    i wonder if the motivation was and is to shut down the GOP convention? curious... same methods used in NC to get rid of it.... there is no shame with the methods of these jerks.  
    Well that's just shameful, but before moving here it was told many times that FL can't do anything "right"  :D so not surprising!
  • 212rowboat212rowboat Member Posts: 2,593 ✭✭✭✭✭
    i hear ya Sir... 

    i reiterate though, if the 9.4% is actually accurate- that is still reason for concern.  it really is.  it just doesn't sound as horrific. 

    it's not like random people are taking these tests- they are mostly folks who have either cause to believe themselves exposed, or hypochondriacs- or what lies between those two causes.  9.4% of those who 'think' they may have been exposed or who believe they're exhibiting symptoms are right.... basically one in ten of those types. 

    those numbers are cause to be concerned... why inflate them? why go off the reservation wild with intent to incite fear? ....... and....... knowing that and speaking to folks who dismiss the whole thing as some sort of 'agenda' alone: why ignore the 9.4% when that is most likely accurate and dang near as concerning? 
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